Week 9

 


Hi all,

After making some final tweaks to our models to fix any errors, we went ahead and evaluated the accuracy of each model. The model that accounted for home-field advantage for its expected goal calculation ended up being far and away the most accurate out of the bunch. This model accurately predicted the outcome of 62% of the matches in last year's playoffs. All of the other models we evaluated ended up having less than forty percent accuracy. Pretty interesting to see just how big of an impact playing at home vs away has on a team's performance.

So, with our model selected, we were ready to move on to the next phase. The playoffs actually start this weekend, so we quickly got to work on building a prediction for the first round of this year's playoffs. It should be fun to see how our model fares in its predictions this weekend. 

 

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